NFL Draft Day 1 thoughts.

1. Alex Smith goes from one team with a Central Michigan Left Tackle to another Central Michigan Left Tackle.

2. Big man are en vogue this year: 9 picks in round 1 were expended on Offensive Linemen.  4 picks were expended on Defensive Linemen.  So more than 1/3 of the picks in round 1 were used for the trenches this draft.

3. Rough day to be a Quarterback: Quarterbacks took a beating and if it wasn’t for Buffalo doing what many consider a huge reach(I see it more as being similar to when Minnesota took Christian Ponder in 2011) there wouldn’t have been a QB selected in round 1 this season.

4. The Tavon Austin effect: The Rams trading up for Tavon Austin changed things in a big way this draft.  If he isn’t picked by the Rams the Jets probably take him at 9 and maybe wait til 13 for Millner or go Trufant or Rhodes if he is gone.

5. Rex Ryan still has a lot of pull in NY: There is word coming out that Rex Ryan shot down a trade at 9 and a non-defensive player at 13.

6. Trent Baalke once again trolls the football world: The 49ers were throwing around rumors of trading up for a Defensive Tackle and end up going Safety in Eric Reid.  Everyone knew the 49ers liked Eric Reid and yet they were still able to get a feeling of surprise out of people.

7. The Bengals are setting Andy Dalton for continued success: Andy Dalton now has two legit targets in the offense in AJ Green and Tyler Eifert.  Expect a fun passing game in Cincy.

8. 3 QBs will go within the first 5 picks of round 3.  I will expect Geno Smith, Ryan Nassib, and Matt Barkley to be gone quickly in the start of round 2.

9. We will see a nice WR run in round 2 also.  There is a bunch of talent at WR still undrafted.  Expect Justin Hunter and Robert Woods of USC to go early in round 2 and Keenan Allen to go later in the round.

10. For the first time in almost 50 years a Runningback was not drafted in round 1.

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2013 NFL Draft predictions.

1: The Chiefs are stating they prefer Eric Fisher as a smokescreen.  They end up with Luke Joeckel regardless if it’s with the 1st overall pick or a slight trade down.

2. The Jets at some point will take Tavon Austin be it at 9 or 13.

3. The 49ers WILL trade up to the middle rounds for either S Kenny Vaccaro or a DL like Sheldon Richardson or Star Lotulelei.

4. Brandon Albert WILL be traded to Miami at some point Friday be it for a 2nd rounder or a 3rd rounder.

5. And if the trade is in round 3 one of those two third rounders will be traded for a future 2nd rounder.

6. Manti T’eo will go to the Vikings unless Alec Ogletree falls to the Vikings.  If that happens T’eo might be there in the middle of round 2.

7. There will be 4 draft day trades in round 1.

8. The Ravens will hold off on an ILB until round 3.

9. Geno Smith will fall pretty far this draft.  As a matter of fact Ryan Nassib will be picked higher.

10. Matt Barkley to Arizona round 2.

Some of these contradict my mock last night.  But stuff changed since I made the mock.

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Final 2013 Mock Draft.

Sorry it’s been awhile since the last update but it’s been a hectic month and I am pretty exhausted.

This mock will feature 0 draft day trades and is updated for the Revis trade.

1. Kansas City Chiefs: Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M- With talk of the Chiefs possibly trading Brandon Albert for a 2nd rounder it seems to make Left Tackle a no brainer here for Kansas City.  The only other way they could go is Eric Fisher who is also an Offensive Tackle.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars: Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon- They could go Tackle with Eric Fisher but they decide to load up the defense for new Head Coach Gus Bradley.

3. Oakland Raiders: Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah- The Raiders decide to replace Richard Seymour with this pick since they were able to get a QB for this year in Matt Flynn to compete with Terrell Pryor.

4. Philadelphia Eagles: Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan- With the explosive offense Chip Kelly wants to put in place he needs to have strength in the trenches.  They go with the second best OT in the draft.

5. Detroit Lions: Lane Johnson, OT, Alabama- The run on Offensive Tackles continues here where the Lions decide their biggest need is keeping Matt Stafford healthy so he can have more time to throw it to Megatron.

6. Cleveland Browns: Ezekiel Ansah, DE/OLB, BYU-  They could go Cornerback here to have two solid CBs but if you have a good pass rush even an average secondary will look elite.  The Browns think that and add another pass rusher across from Paul Kruger.

7. Arizona Cardinals: Sharif Floyd, DT, Florida- Either way the Cardinals are gonna go DT but I am sure they didn’t expect that DT to be via Floyd falling this far.

8. Buffalo Bills: Ryan Nassib, QB, Syracuse- The Bills are a bit scared that the Jets might grab him so they decide to go with who is the best fit in the system of new HC Doug Marrone and let the Jets pick the next option at QB.

9. New York Jets: Barkevious Mingo, DE/OLB, LSU- The Jets decide to go even younger at OLB on their 3-4 after letting Calvin Pace and Bryan Thomas go in free agency.  In a CB Deep class they can wait on a replacement for the recently traded Revis.

10. Tennessee Titans: Dee Millner, CB, Alambama- Somehow Millner fell to this pick and the Titans are so happy to pounce on him the guy running the card may set a new 40 time.

11. San Diego Chargers: Jonathan Cooper, G, UNC- Among the most talented teams a few years ago suddenly the Chargers need to plug quite a few holes and offensive line is a big one.  Since the top three tackles are off the board Cooper seems to be the logical choice here.

12. Miami Dolphins: Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame- This seems like a huge reach but at this point the Dolphins other needs who would not be a reach at this point are already taken.  So why not add a reliable weapon at a position that is a safety valve for young QBs?

13. New York Jets: Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia- I get that the likelier pick is probably Geno’s teammate at West Virginia Tavon Austin but the Jets are to a point where they need to do something to show the fans they are willing to change.  And with a mediocre QB depth chart the biggest thing they could do to inspire hope is get a QB drafted so high there might be hope for the end of the Sanchez era.

14. Carolina Panthers: Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia- And the slide of Austin stops here.  This helps the Panthers in two ways.  First it gives Cam Newton a future go to WR for once Steve Smith retires.  Secondly it prevents a “ready to pounce” Saints from getting him so he can burn secondaries in the South with Brees passing to him for years to come.

15. New Orleans Saints: Sheldon Richardson, DE, Missouri-  With the Saints joining the party in the 3-4 defense universe they need to get guys who will make the Linebackers look good.  And the very Justin Smith-esque Richardson will wreck havoc on offensive lines.

16. St. Louis Rams: Alec Ogletree, LB, Georgia- The Rams have few needs on Defense but they could use another LB.  And with this the NFC gets richer.

17. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia- One of the best 3-4 OLB Prospects happens to fall to the Steelers pick after they let James Harrison go.  This will not make NFL Conspiracy Theorists go nuts will it?

18. Dallas Cowboys: Kenny Vaccaro, FS, Texas- The Cowboys are glad to jump on Kenny Vaccaro since he fills a big need and is for sure a quality pick.  He will wind up being an addition that will make a already strong secondary even better in the switch to a Tampa 2.

19. New York Giants: Bjeorn Werner, DE, FSU- This is the kind of pick the Giants love in round 1.  A relentless pass rusher who happens to be there right as the Giants lose a defensive lineman in their rotation.  It’s Giants offseason by numbers.

20. Chicago Bears: Xavier Rhodes, CB, FSU- The Bears need some secondary depth at the Cornerback position with that division so they get a big bodied CB who will be needed for facing Calvin Johnson in the near future.

21. Cincinnati Bengals: Eric Reid, S, LSU- The Bengals missed out on Kenny Vaccaro so they decide to go to the next Safety they covet in Eric Reid.

22. St. Louis Rams: DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson- One of the most talented WRs in this class and with the lack of depth at WR the Rams spend their second pick in round 1 on a potential top WR.

23. Minnesota Vikings: Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee- There are a number of way the Vikings can go with this pick.  They decide to continue the WR run and take Patterson so they can have another option next to Greg Jennigs.

24. Indianapolis Colts: Sylvester Williams, DE, UNC- The Colts need to continue the build of the trenches as they keep up with the conversion to a 3-4 defense that started last season.  Williams is the next in line in a really deep DLine Class.

25. Minnesota Vikings: Manti Te’o, ILB, Notre Dame- The next need on the list of the Vikings is at ILB.  They are lacking in this respect so they jump on the second best ILB in the 2013 NFL Draft Class in Ole Catfisherman himself.

26. Green Bay Packers: Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee- And the run on Tennessee WRs continues.  Green Bay has less depth at WR and let’s face it if Randall Cobb is able to hit Free Agency he is gone too.  So WR is a huge need.

27. Houston Texans: Keenan Allen, WR, Cal- With Andre Johnson getting up there age and there really being no legit number 2 at WR for Houston they go with the guy who was the top WR in this class a mere few months ago.

28. Denver Broncos: Tank Carradine, DE/OLB, FSU- Von Miller has been a monster for Denver but they still want to add more of a pass rush.  Yes I understand their secondary and coaching led to being one and done but like I said earlier a great pass rush is a cure all on defense.

29. New England Patriots: Jamar Taylor, CB, Boise State- Aquib Talib was a great addition but they still need to add another secondary as Talib can’t be on all 4 spots at the same time.

30. Atlanta Falcons: Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington- Atlanta is another team who needs to address a secondary that was exposed this year in the post-season.  Unlike New England though they have a division where you need a legit secondary to begin with.

31. San Francisco 49ers: Jonathan Crypen, S, Florida International- They have needs at S and DL but this is a deep DL class and they need a starter at FS so they go with a good coverage Safety in Crypen which is what they are looking for after a lack of coverage at the position led to them being 5-1 in the Super Bowl instead of 6-0.

32. Baltimore Ravens: Matt Elam, S, Florida- The Ravens have quite a few players to replace.  With the departure of Ed Reed this is a top hope and they decide to address it now instead of later.

Also be sure to check out the mock drafts on http://www.walterfootball.com to compare my mock to the plethora of mock drafts on that site.

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Ravens sign Elvis Dumervil

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The Ravens have signed former Broncos DE Elvis Dumervil today.

Thoughts: After losing 7 defensive starters this is a good move for the Ravens to bolster the pass rush even more.  They still have some work to do to replace Inside Linebackers, 2 safeties, and a cornerback.

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2013 NFL Mock Draft take 2.

Most of the picks early on remain unchanged but as we get further down into the draft we see newer picks.  I opted to do no trades for this mock though.  When you are done reading this draft you should go to http://www.walterfootball.com and check out their mock and their mock draft database for all your NFL Draft needs.

1. Kansas City Chiefs- Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M: Brandon Albert just signed his tender but I still think tackle is where KC goes here be it taking Joeckel or trading down and taking one of the top two tackles.  For now I have them sitting pat and taking Joeckel.  But they could just as easily trade down and get a tackle too.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars- Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon: The Jaguars take the best defensive end on the board at the second pick to help bolster new Head Coach Gus Bradley’s defense.  Jordan is a highly regarded prospect despite an injury that only allowed him to run a 40 at the combine.  But his game tape is good enough that everyone overlooked it.

3. Oakland Raiders- Sharrif Floyd, DE, Florida- The Raiders need help on the line with Richard Seymour a free agent and Desmond Bryant already gone in Free Agency.  So they take Floyd who is the second best DE on the board.  This will be a great pick for Oakland if it happens.

4. Philadelphia Eagles- Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia- This will be the shocker of the top part of the draft to some.  The Eagles have Vick and Foles but I think Geno Smith will be the guy Chip Kelly wants to groom as his QB.  I will even go so far as to say Vick or Foles will be a end of camp cut so they can have both Smith and Dixon on the roster.

5. Detroit Lions- Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan: The Lions decide to replace a member of their line after the retirement of Jeff Backus especially considering they need that part of their offense shored up with the signing of Reggie Bush.  They jump on Fisher.

6. Cleveland Browns- Ezekial Ansah, OLB, BYU- The Browns just signed Kruger to play OLB so they decide to use the 6th pick in this draft to fill in the spot opposite Kruger in hopes that the due will terrorize QBs for the next few years.

7. Arizona Cardinals- Dee Millner, CB, Alabama- They decide to catch up with the rest of the division and load up the rest of the secondary the way SF, StL, and Seattle have by pairing Millner next to Patrick Peterson.  NFC West getting stronger in 2013.

8. Buffalo Bills- Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee- The Bills lost out on Geno so they decide to not reach for a QB who can easily be had in the second round.  So instead they take one of the top Wideouts in this draft in Patterson.

9. New York Jets- Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia- The Jets have so many holes they decide to go with improving the pass rush a second year in a row.  I’d rather they trade down to get more picks because they really have the most roster holes after free agency in the league.

10. Tennessee Titans, Chance Warmack, C/G, Alabama- Having invested a top pick in Locker and some serious money in Shonn Greene and Delanie Walker they need a lineman to help make all these moves work.  So they pick up the next best OLineman available.

11. San Diego Chargers- Jonathan Cooper, C/G, North Carolina- The Chargers are a bit of a mess.  If they are to have any success this year they need to rebuild the offensive line to allow Philip Rivers the chance to stay alive long enough to move an offense down the field.

12. Miami Dolphins- Xavier Rhoades, CB, Florida State- Losing Sean Smith opens up a hole in CB and Rhoades happens to be a player similar to what Smith is in size so the Dolphins jump to pick up one of the better cover corners in the draft.

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington- If the Bucs have this pick it’s because they didn’t trade for Darrelle Revis.  If that is the case they decide to add to their already insane secondary with Trufant.

14. Carolina Panthers- Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah- I had Star drop big time last draft.  Now he is up here because he was medically cleared for his pro day and was fantastic.  The only reason I don’t have him top 10 is because I am sure some teams will be put off on spending that kinda pick due to the heart condition.  Carolina happily takes him.

15. New Orleans Saints- Barkevious Mingo, OLB, LSU- The Saints add the necessary pass rushing OLB in their conversion to a 3-4 defense.  Mingo was a terror in LSU and that will be needed in the QB loaded NFC South.

16. St. Louis Rams- Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma- The Rams hosted Jake Long but weren’t able to sign him and they have a need at tackle.  So they use the 15th pick on the Sooners Tackle to play RT on their offense for now and maybe eventually replace Roger Saffold.

17. Pittsburgh Steelers- Sheldon Richardson, DE, Missourri- Yes the Steelers have needs elsewhere but their D-Line is getting up there in age and they opt to get the future at DE in Richardson who is an absolute monster on the line.

18. Dallas Cowboys- DJ Fluker, OT, Alabama: The Cowboys address the offensive line finally in round 1 and take a member of the National Champion Alabama.  He would be the only player in the locker room with a championship ring though.

19. New York Giants- Bjeorn Warner, DE, Florida State: The Giants lose a Defensive End they take another one with a high motor to replace him in the draft, wash, rinse, repeat.

20. Chicago Bears- Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee- The Bears see their top O-Line targets taken and decide to add to the WR corps to give Jay Cutler more to throw to.  So they take one of the better WRs in this deep class at the position.

21. Cincinnati Bengals- Menelik Watson, OT, Florida State: I am not so sure Andre Smith is going to be a Bengal at this point so I feel this will be a need.  With 2 picks in the second round they can easily address other concerns there.  But as of right now I think they need Watson.

22. St. Louis Rams- Alec Ogletree, ILB, Georgia: The Rams improve the Linebacking corps with the best of this class at ILB.  Ogletree next to James Laurenatis will be almost as scary a combo in the NFC West as Willis/Bowman in the coming years.

23. Minnesota Vikings- Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia: After committing to Greg Jennings for 6 years they now need to address the lack of a speedy WR in Minnesota.  Tavon Austin absolutely lit it up at the West Virginia pro day and the Vikings happily give Ponder this target to throw to.

24. Indianapolis Colts- Keenan Allen, WR, Cal: Andrew Luck meet your go-to receiver for the next 10+ years.  A knee injury drops Allen here but when he is on the field as an NFL receiver he will be one of the best wideouts in this class period.

25. Minnesota Vikings- Manti T’eo, ILB, Notre Dame: The Vikings need an Inside Linebacker and the catfished T’eo is the best one available at this point.

26. Green Bay Packers- Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas: After cutting Charles Woodson the Pack decide to get the top safety available in this draft and take Vaccaro.

27. Houston Texans- Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU: The Texans need another ILB and also depth after what the Cushing injury did to them so they go with yet another talented LSU player who is in this draft in Kevin Minter.

28. Denver Broncos- Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State: The Broncos continue to improve the defense this off-season after seeing what Baltimore did to them this year.

29. New England Patriots- Sylvester Williams, DT, North Carolina: The Pats add another lineman on the defensive side after being flat out gashed by the Ravens in the AFC Title Game.  Sensing a pattern here?

30. Atlanta Falcons- Tank Carradine, DE, Florida State: After cutting John Abraham the Falcons decide to wait on a future TE to get a guy who could help as a rookie in Carradine.

31. San Francisco- Jonathan Crypen, S, Florida International: The 49ers have a huge hole at FS after losing Dashon Goldson but decide to go with more of a coverage safety in Crypen.

32. Baltimore- Demontre Moore, OLB, Texas A&M: He had a so so combine which drops him but the Ravens like the game tape they see when selecting Moore here in round 1.  He will compete to replace Kruger here.

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Ed Reed signs with the Texans

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Ed Reed’s long career in Baltimore is now over as the free agent Safety has signed with the Houston Texans.

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49ers sign K Phil Dawson

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Former Browns K Phil Dawson took to twitter today to announce he is now a member of the San Francisco 49ers.

He tweeted the following:

“I am humbled & thrilled to have the opportunity to continue my career with my new team, the SF 49ers!”

Thoughts: One of the most glaring holes on the 49ers right now has been addressed in a big way.  Phil Dawson was easily the best kicker in the NFL going 6-6 from 40-49 yards and 7-7 in kicks 50 yards or farther.  This also gives the 49ers flexibility in the draft as far as trades up, down, or for future picks are concerned.

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Colts sign DT Aubrayo Franklin

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The Indianapolis Colts have signed former Chargers DT Aubrayo Franklin.

Thoughts: He isn’t too up there in age and is a serviceable Nose Tackle in a 3-4.  He should provide a good stop gap for the Colts when they get a younger guy to play NT.  Look for Houston vs Indianapolis to be a lot more interesting.

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Saints sign Nnamdi Asomugha

After speculation that he would end up back in the bay area it appears Nnamdi Asomugha has signed with the New Orleans Saints.

Thoughts: Any help is good help for last year’s worst ranked defense.  If he plays like he did in Oakland it will go a long way to making the defense match the offense.

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Rams sign Jake Long

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It is finally official, former Dolphins OT Jake Long has agreed to terms with the St. Louis Rams.

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